22V Intelligence Dashboard

THIS WEEK — —

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SUPPLIERS VS BUYERS — COATUE CAPITAL May 17 2026 · Hyperscaler Capex Cycle Analysis

🔴 BUYERS (Penalized)

MSFT FCF after capex: $39B
META FCF after capex: $5B
AMZN FCF after capex: $7B
P/E compression: −5× to −8×

Total hyperscaler capex: $680B

🟢 SUPPLIERS (Accumulating)

Semi FCF total: $525B
AMAT / KLAC / LRCX / ASML
TSM · NVDA · AVGO
Physical inputs: MOS · SLV · Gold

Thesis: buyers penalized → suppliers accumulate cash

"The buyers are being penalized. The suppliers are the ones accumulating cash." — Coatue Capital slide, Jordi Visser May 17 2026 Basket positioning: overweight suppliers + physical scarcity inputs

AI Industrial Buildout Basket 22 names · 5 themes

Names

Bullish

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Earnings ≤14d

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Signals Confirmed

Hit Rate

53%

ALL

POWER

PACKAGING

DRAM

OPTICAL

CHEMICALS

EDGE

HARDWARE

NETWORKING

STORAGE

SOFTWARE

BULLISH

EARNINGS ≤30D

CONFIRMED

#	TICKER	NAME	THEME	PRICE	CHG%	RSI	SIGNAL	VS HIGH	STATUS	PEG	EARNINGS	THESIS

RSI Signal Scoreboard

· John Roe framework

ROQUE SCORE (simplified) — Based on trend + momentum + base pattern. Full John Roque scoring (0–100) is subscriber-only at 22V.

RANK	TICKER	THEME	PRICE	RSI	50DMA	200DMA	VS HIGH	SIGNAL	SETUP	ROQUE ▾

PEG Ratio Sheet Ranked within theme only · Source: nightly signals

S&P 500 PEG 1.03 (Yardeni)

Hyperscaler ref: MSFT 1.4 AMZN 1.66 META 1.96 AAPL 3.0 GOOGL 5.0

PEG comparison is within-theme only. A semiconductor PEG of 2.0 and a utility PEG of 2.0 are NOT comparable — growth expectations, capital structure, and margin profiles differ entirely across sectors.

Catalyst Setups Scored: earnings + RSI + signal + bottleneck

Replicating the QCOM setup — earnings ≤30d + RSI 35–65 + demand confirmed = play

Earnings Calendar Recently reported (45d) + upcoming · ~ = estimated date

TICKER	NAME	DATE	DAYS	SIGNAL STATUS	LAST QUOTE	SETUP SCORE

Macro Ratio Dashboard 90-day sparklines · live data

BTC / IGVRisk Regime

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QQQ / SPXGrowth vs Broad

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GOLD / COPPERSafety vs Industrial

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BTC / GOLDRisk Appetite

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RATIOVALUETRENDSIGNAL

BTC/IGV———

QQQ/SPX———

GOLD/CU———

BTC/GOLD———

Turbulence Model Mahalanobis covariance shock detector · 90-day signal history

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TURBULENCE SCORE / 100

— COVARIANCE SHOCK cross-asset stress building —

— SPX > 50DMA market still appears calm —

— VIX < 25 fear not yet priced in —

All three must fire simultaneously = green stealth bar

🟢 GREEN = hidden risk building. Most dangerous — market calm but stress rising.

🔴 RED = visible stress. Market already reacting. Less dangerous — already priced in.

90-DAY SIGNAL HISTORY 🟢 STEALTH (hidden risk — ACT) 🟡 AMBER (early warning — correlation breakdown) 🔴 STRESS (visible — already priced) 🟠 ELEVATED (watch) ⬛ NORMAL Threshold

⚠ Note: Green bars = hidden danger (Jordi's stealth signal). Market appears calm while covariance stress is building. Red bars = visible stress already priced in by markets.

CREDIT CASCADE — 6-LEG STRESS —

HY / IEF—

BKLN vs 100dma—

ARCC vs 20dma—

JNK / IEF (OAS)—

KBE / SPY (BKX)—

LQD / IEF (CDX IG)—

Built Christmas 2025 · v2.0 Mar 8 2026 · 75-asset universe · Validated against Jordi's known signal dates. Fires a stealth warning (green bar) only when all three conditions are simultaneously true: (1) Mahalanobis covariance shock above 93rd percentile, (2) SPX above 50-day MA, (3) VIX below 25. The stealth design warns before panic, not during it. Calibrated to 80/100 (Feb 3 fires ✓, baseline 24 ✓, Jan–Feb cluster 7 vs 12–15 target ✗ — known structural ceiling).

New Ideas Pipeline Candidates + subscriber-only pending

TICKER	NAME	SOURCE	CONFIDENCE	STATUS	THESIS	ACTION

🔒 SUBSCRIBER-ONLY PENDING (22V Research)

ENTGMKSIKLAC CCESIROGAIP

ENTG / MKSI / KLAC — Advanced packaging equipment & chemicals. Named in 22V PACKAGE index (subscriber). Not in any public transcript.
CC / ESI / ROG / AIP — Molecular Moat 2.0 basket (Jordi, Apr 2026). Paper expected ~4–8 weeks post Apr 26. Paywall content.

Convergence Tracker Multi-pipeline cross-reference · TRIPLE+ = basket candidate priority queue

TRIPLE+—

DOUBLE—

Pipelines4

Generated—

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TWO-STAGE PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZER Stage 1: Theme balance via PEG weighting · Stage 2: Portfolio-level risk/return optimization

"Two-stage optimization — one at the theme level, then one at the portfolio level. Use PEG ratio to level weights within themes. Show the ups and downs of every name. Never stop — just slow down and speed up like driving a car."

JORDI VISSER · MAY 10 2026 · In Bubbles, Parabolas and Speed Crashes — optimization means reweighting, not exiting.

X / Substack Signal Extraction Paste Jordi post → Claude extracts structured signals

API KEY

Macro Call

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New Tickers

Theme Confirmations

Theme Rotations

Signal Strength

Framework Updates

Key Quote

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Stack Analyzer ABB methodology · Upload diagram → Claude maps components to public companies

⬡ SUPPLY CHAIN STACK ANALYZER Upload any industrial / electrical / architecture diagram

API KEY

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DRAG & DROP IMAGE HERE

or click to browse · PNG, JPG, WEBP

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Components

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Companies

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Immediate

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Watch

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In Basket

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Net New

Bitcoin Intelligence Preview · Full dashboard linkable

₿ BITCOIN OPEN FULL →

BTC Price

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24H Change

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BTC/GOLD

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BTC/IGV

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BITCOIN DASHBOARD COMING SOON

This section will house a full Bitcoin intelligence dashboard including:

On-chain metrics
BTC vs macro ratio charts
Jordi's BTC thesis tracker
BTC as AI trade indicator

Jordi's AI Extraction Methodology Reconstructed from public transcripts · Confidence: HIGH (core pipeline)

CANONICAL 5-TASK PROMPT

TASK 1 — THEME EXTRACTION
Extract the primary supply-chain investment theme from this content.
Time horizon: 18–36 months. Real-world constraint: must show up in
earnings commentary within 2 quarters.

TASK 2 — VERTICAL MAPPING
Map the theme to supply chain verticals. Show the full chain from
raw input → component → assembly → end market.

TASK 3 — COMPANY POPULATION
List 20–30 public companies benefiting from this vertical.
Exclude Mag-7 / hyperscalers. Emphasize small/midcap ($500M–$15B).
Include company + ticker + market cap range + which vertical.

TASK 4 — EARNINGS FILTER
For each company: does recent earnings commentary (last 2 reports)
explicitly mention this theme as a demand driver? Require specific
management quotes. Remove any company where it is silent.

TASK 5 — BOTTLENECK SCORE
Score each remaining company 1–3:
  3 = cannot substitute this supplier in <18 months (hard chokepoint)
  2 = substitutable but with 6–18 month lag and switching costs
  1 = commodity / easily replaced

OUTPUT: company | ticker | mkt cap range | vertical |
        earnings quote + date | bottleneck score | rationale

Time Horizon Gate

18–36 months. Forces out momentum plays; keeps structural supply-chain dislocations.

Real-World Constraint

Must show up in earnings within 2 quarters. Eliminates hype that never reaches financials.

Supply-Chain Framing

Full chain from raw input to end market. Surfaces non-obvious bottleneck names 2–3 layers deep.

Bottleneck Prioritization

Score 1–3. Only score-3 names get full position. The chokepoint is the trade.

Earnings Validation Gate

Management must have said it. Hearsay, analyst estimates, and industry reports don't count.

HIGH — Core Pipeline (direct transcript quotes) MEDIUM — Weighting/rebalance rules (inferred) LOW — Subscriber how-to video (paywall)

GAPS TRACKER

🔒PAYWALL: Subscriber how-to video (Apr 20–26 2026) — master prompt + full John Roe 0–100 scoring algorithm. Weights: Elliott Wave + candlestick/base patterns + trend following. ≥70 = buy signal.
⏳PENDING: Molecular Moat 2.0 video (~4–8 weeks from Apr 26, 2026) — expected to name CC, ESI, ROG, AIP as the chemicals/materials basket. "Chemistry at the interface: advanced packaging + photonics + liquid cooling convergence."
❓UNKNOWN: Earnings API identity. Jordi: "I connect to earnings commentary through an API. I run all this. I create basically a program for it." Candidates: AlphaSense, Kensho, Sentieo, Earnings Whispers.
❓UNKNOWN: Full John Roe 0–100 scoring prompt. "Very long" — shared with hedge fund clients. Never read aloud. Known inputs: Elliott Wave, candlestick/base patterns, trend following. Output: ≥70 = buy.

TOOL STACK

TOOL	PRIMARY USE	WHEN
ChatGPT	Basket generation, comparative analysis, 100-name prompt	Initial extraction
Gemini	Deep research, cross-validation of quantitative claims	After ChatGPT
Perplexity	Bloomberg replacement, 60% of research time	Continuous
Claude	App building, earnings deep dives, Open Claw agent	Portfolio → ideas
Grok	Code generation ($300/mo), verbal brainstorming on drives	Coding + ideation
Nano Banana	Gemini 3, slide visuals, optical fiber name generation	Visual research

Actionable Intelligence Feed —

JORDI'S 3-CRITERIA SCREEN

PEG < 1 · Technical ≥ 85 · Exhaustion = LOW · Must meet all three

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"Trading exhaustion to get out, buying when they reset." — Jordi Visser, May 24 2026

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ACT NOWModel signals require immediate attention · 🎯 Jordi Screen names promoted automatically when all 3 criteria pass —

No signals in this tier today

PREPARESetups forming, levels identified —

No signals in this tier today

MONITORWatch for deterioration or improvement —

No signals in this tier today

Podcast Intelligence Queue Sources Jordi references · download with yt-dlp

Jordi Composite Ranking —

#	TICKER	NAME	THEME	COMPOSITE	TECH	PEG RANK	EXHAUST	RSI14	TIER